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Freeze-up of Arctic Sea Ice in the U.S. Beaufort and Chukchi Seas (2010-2011)

Office/Division Program
TAP
Project Number
682
Level of Influence
Influential
Peer Review Type
Exempt
Peer Review Type Clarification
Routine statistical information released by federal statistical agencies and analyses of these data to compute standard indicators and trends
Category
Research Initiation Date (PoP Start)
Research Completion Date (PoP End)
Research Performing Organization
Coastal Frontiers Corporation
Research Principal Investigator
Craig Leidersdorf
Research Authors & ORCID
Craig Leidersdorf
0009-0004-7475-4996
Christopher Scott
0009-0009-9910-0768
Kennon Vaudrey
Gregory Hearon
Research Contract Award Value
$99907.00
Description

See Final Research Abstract

Latest progress update

Completed

Final Research Abstract
Sea ice behavior during freeze-up is highly variable from year to year, so a single season of observation, such as the 2009-10 freeze-up study, is insufficient to establish reliable trends for offshore facility design and operation in the Alaskan Beaufort and Chukchi Seas. This follow-on study, commissioned by Shell and BOEMRE, was designed to document the 2010-11 freeze-up season, map hazardous ice features, and compare interannual variability against both the 1980s baseline and the 2009-10 study. Researchers combined public and proprietary satellite imagery (RADARSAT-2, AVHRR, MODIS), meteorological data, and Iridium buoy telemetry with five aerial reconnaissance flights across the Beaufort and Chukchi Seas in early February 2011. The 2010-11 winter was the third warmest in 41 years, first-year ice thickness was comparable to 2009-10, and—in sharp contrast to the prior year's large-scale invasion—large multi-year ice floes were absent from the nearshore zone, though grounded fragments of old ice up to 5.5 meters thick were observed on Beaufort barrier islands. A weak easterly storm regime produced an unusually narrow, unstable landfast ice zone and only one minor ice pile-up in the Beaufort, while Chukchi coastal pile-ups increased to 27. The findings indicate that large multi-year ice invasions occur in roughly one of five years rather than annually, and that year-to-year contrasts in storm timing and direction—more than long-term warming alone—govern landfast ice stability, reinforcing the need for multi-year monitoring to support offshore facility siting and pipeline design in the region. This abstract was drafted with the assistance of Claude, July 2026.